Portugal on verge of securing World Cup knockout spot without playing

Portugal could secure its place in the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup today without even taking to the pitch.

Roberto Martínez’s side, which sits second in Group K with four points after drawing 1-1 with DR Congo and thrashing Uzbekistan 5-0, is expected to qualify for the last 32 before facing Colombia in its final group match.

With the expanded 48-team tournament allowing the eight best third-placed teams to progress, Portugal is already in a strong position. As results elsewhere come in, the Seleção is widely expected to guarantee that, at worst, it will finish among the best third-placed teams.

South Korea and Scotland have already completed their group campaigns with three points – the most points that the third-place team in Group I will also be able to secure – meaning Portugal’s current tally of four points is almost certain to mathematically secure qualification.

This Thursday, Germany will look to complete a perfect group-stage record against Ecuador after already securing top spot in Group E, while Côte d’Ivoire and Curaçao are battling for the second qualification place in the group. Wins from Germany and Côte d’Ivoire, for example, could be enough for Portugal to secure qualification.

Should Portugal advance, it would mark the sixth time the national team has reached the knockout rounds in nine World Cup appearances. Portugal previously progressed beyond the group stage in 1966, when it finished third overall, as well as in 2006, 2010, 2018 and 2022.

In Group F, the Netherlands and Japan both lead on four points, with Sweden still in contention, while Australia and Paraguay will also be aiming to secure qualification later in the day.

Meanwhile, Portugal continues its preparations for Saturday’s meeting with Colombia in Miami, a match that will determine who finishes top of Group K.

Portugal and Colombia meet on Saturday at 7.30pm local time (12.30am Sunday in Lisbon), with the South Americans already assured of a place in the knockout stage after winning their opening two matches.

Michael Bruxo

Journalist for the Portugal Resident.