LPA has 'medium' chance of becoming cyclone; may not enter PAR – Pagasa

MANILA, Philippines — The low-pressure area (LPA) being monitored outside the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) has a “medium” chance of developing into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours, the state weather bureau reported on Monday.

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) also said the weather system has a low chance of entering PAR.

According to Pagasa weather specialist Aldczar Aurelio, the LPA was last located 1,480 kilometers east of Northeastern Mindanao, farther from the landmass, so “it does not have any direct effect on any part of the country.”

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“Based on our data today, it has the potential to become a cyclone. But the chances of it entering our Philippine area of responsibility are low,” he said in Filipino.

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Pagasa said the southwest monsoon, or habagat, is currently affecting the country.

Metro Manila and the following areas in Luzon are expected to experience scattered rains and thunderstorms due to the monsoon:

Ilocos Region

Cordillera Administrative Region

Zambales

Bataan

Tarlac

Pampanga

Bulacan

Cavite

Laguna

Batangas

Rizal

Occidental Mindoro

Oriental Mindoro

Palawan

The southwest monsoon is also expected to bring partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms over the rest of Luzon.

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Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms are also expected across the Visayas and Mindanao due to localized thunderstorms.

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Aurelio said the southwest monsoon is expected to weaken and no longer affect the country on Tuesday.

“The dominant weather system will be easterlies, which are expected to linger in our country for the next two to three days,” he said in Filipino.

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No gale warning is in effect over any seaboard of the country, but fishermen are advised to exercise caution due to possible moderate to rough waves, especially along the northern and western seaboards of Luzon. /mcm