Pagasa: LPA outside PAR has medium chance of becoming a typhoon

MANILA, Philippines — A low-pressure area (LPA) outside the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) has a medium chance of developing into a typhoon, the state weather bureau said.

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) weather specialist Charmagne Varilla said in the 11 a.m. weather advisory on Tuesday, July 14, that the LPA may either intensify into a typhoon within the next 24 hours as it moves toward southern China or track closer to Hong Kong, where it is less likely to strengthen.

READ: Tropical depression forms outside PAR – Pagasa

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“First, it could intensify into a full-fledged storm within 24 hours as it moves toward southern China, though this phase might be brief before it continues to weaken. There is also a second scenario where it could track closer to Hong Kong,” Varilla said in Filipino.

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As of 10 a.m., the LPA was located 820 kilometers west of Extreme Northern Luzon and is not expected to directly affect the country, Varilla said.

“Neither of the two scenarios has a direct effect on any part of the country,” Varilla said in Filipino.

Meanwhile, the southwest monsoon, or habagat, is forecast to bring strong gale-force gusts, especially to coastal and upland areas of the following on Tuesday:

Ilocos Region

Cordillera Administrative Region

Cagayan Valley

Central Luzon

Cavite

Batangas

Occidental Mindoro

Coastal waters of up to 3 meters are also expected in the following seaboards due to the monsoon:

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Western and northern seaboards of Babuyan Islands

Northwestern seaboard of Pangasinan

Seaboards of Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, and La Union

Pagasa advised mariners of small boats, including motorboats, not to venture out to sea in strong winds.

Meanwhile, Tropical Depression Josie is forecast to weaken into an LPA within the next 12 hours and exit the PAR on Tuesday afternoon or evening, according to Pagasa.

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As of 10 a.m., Josie was estimated at 1,070 kilometers east of Southeastern Luzon, packing maximum sustained winds of 45 kilometers per hour near the center and gusts of up to 55 kph, while moving northwestward at 25 kph.

“It still has no direct effect on any part of the country,” Varilla said in Filipino. Rendell Manuel, trainee, INQUIRER.net

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