How overestimated rice demand distorted Philippine policy

Rice consumption in the Philippines has shifted significantly over the past seven decades because of population growth, dietary substitution, statistical methodologies and policy choices. While the country was self-sufficient in rice from the 1960s through the 1990s, the turn of the millennium marked a structural shift toward deficits and import dependence. This paper reviews historical consumption and production data, examines the methodological basis of per capita rice consumption estimates and discusses flaws in the Supply Utilization Accounts (SUA) method. By reconciling statistical overestimation with actual consumption patterns, the study identifies the roots of over-importation and proposes policy options that combine […]... Keep on reading: How overestimated rice demand distorted Philippine policy